Categorized | El Clasico, La Liga, Preview, Thoughts

A Classic preview, aka “For some, this colossal event is also the end of the road”

clasmess

We have it, they want it. It was always going to come to this, when you really stop to think about it.

This remarkable team that to date has yet to lose a big match, faces on Sunday one that is immense. Cliches abound: all the marbles, season at stake, etc, etc, but what it really comes down to is that for this wonderful team of ours to have a snowball’s chance in hell of repeating as Liga champions or finishing a comfortable second place, even, it must win against its eternal rival, in that opponent’s house.

A more fitting challenge for this remarkable group of athletes escapes my thinking.

Sid Lowe wrote a lovely piece in which he makes a case for something akin to a fin de siecle, a completion of tenure. Valdes is leaving in the summer, and so is Puyol. Many speculate that Xavi, who always prefers to keep his cards close to the vest, will also be stepping down. This would mean, as Lowe so eloquently posits, that the three captains would all be leaving in the same summer, thus marking the end not of a cycle (which has been over for some time at any rate), but of the tenured Masia influence as embodied in those three giants.

As such, this could be the last Classic for three amazing players. We know it will be the last one for two of them, only one of whom will be taking to the pitch for sure, as Puyol seems to wrestling with the same kind of injury that Eric Abidal had late in his last season.

So it is that when people ask me how I can continue to not be a fan of players, it is matches and moments such as this that illustrate the partially protective nature of my reserve. Like Pep Guardiola, the struggle is with getting too close to them, to having players mean so much … too much, really, that when they leave, get injured, suffer and finally move on it becomes something more than what it is, which is a changing of the guard for a football club that you love.

clasxavi

In a world where we only have so much extraneous love for objects that you can’t hold in your hands or arms even as you can hold them in your heart, the struggle would be to hang on, to read something more into a situation that is simply Time, doing what it does. So even as I sit back and say Puyol, Valdes and Xavi are moving on, it is impossible for this match not to feel final in a weird, abrupt kind of way.

The last Classic.

It is also one of the most confounding, because we don’t really know which Barça will show up, even as we are confident that Big Match Barça will pop in, rather than Whatevs Barça. This is a big match. Win and we are within a single point of the top, piling on the pressure. Lose, and we are seven points adrift and ready to put all of our eggs in the Champions League basket in a season that threatens to shape up in a fashion similar to Guardiola’s final year — the Copa isn’t so bad after all, is it?

And it won’t come down to who wants it more, who had more heart, silly cliches that make me want to throw a shoe at my television set. Both teams want, both teams have vast reserves of talent, both teams cherish the prize at the end of the season.

This match will come down to execution, to staring a moment in the face and holding bedlam at bay by dint of quality. Both teams have players who can do that. Do I like to be consoled by the fact that Barça has a system of play that at its best verges on automatic? Sure, even as I know that they also have a system of attack, even if some people they just run around, pell-mell, toward the opponent’s goal.

Moods and things

The situation for the first home Classic was different. We were rounding into shape and they were still finding their way, without a system to base their behavior on as the team came together. They, like us, had a new coach, but bereft of on-field generals such as Valdes, Xavi and Iniesta, their task was more daunting as they came into our house. The result was a 2-1 scoreline that but for an error, would have been 2-0. This time, things are more even.

clasvald

They are playing some fine football, pundits tell me. Bale has found his way, Ronaldo is banging goals in and Benzema had rounded into the attacker that his substantial price tag called for. Midfield is solid, and they would seem to be primed to wrest the crown from us with style.

But we have some stuff going on as well, our team that is coming off of a dispatching of Manchester City, a team that was supposed to be our Waterloo, then slamming 7 past our last Liga opponent. More significant than that gaudy scoreline was the fact that for the first time in a very long time, the team played like it didn’t care about Messi. More specifically, it played as if Messi was another player on the team, rather than the player. Yes, Messi notched a hat trick, but the goals flowed out of the overall team play. Nothing was forced, and if a pass wasn’t available to Messi, the team didn’t make it. Pedro got his, Sanchez raised hell, Iniesta was decisive, Xavi was in the box to take potshots at the keeper.

Barça was s TEAM that included the best player alive. That is a team to be feared, no matter the opponent.

With both teams on form, you begin to look at wild cards, things that will decide the match one way or another. Obviously, there’s Messi and Ronaldo, but they are known quantities. This will be the first time this season that RM has seen a fit Messi, rather than the sweating cypher parked on the right wing. If those two cancel each other out as they often do in terms of production, it will come down to the other players.

Lee Roden makes the case for the positions of Bale and Neymar being reversed, with the latter struggling to regain form while the former has found his. Will that be the thing that decides the match in RM’s favor, as Neymar did in the first, scoring a goal and delivering the assist for the other one?

For me, a few things are key:

The midfield

classini

This will be where the match will be won or lost. Look for Martino to roll out with four mids, almost certainly Xavi, Iniesta, Fabregas and Busquets, in an effort to control the match and blunt the effectiveness of their slash-and-burn attacks on goal. Possession will be absolutely essential, with two thoroughbreds who will be itching to take a run at our backpedaling defense. If possession is turned in a dangerous part of the pitch they will be most of the way to our back line, as chasing midfielders try to catch up to the play.

And that ain’t happening. So the ball will need to be controlled and not turned over. But of course, it ain’t like their midfield sucks. Post-mortems on Sunday will, I think, bring it all down to control of this key area.

Set pieces

Limiting them is key for a few reasons, not least of which is the height differential that will make set pieces against almost any team that isn’t Juvenil A a danger. But set pieces will also mean that they have the ball in our end and are presenting danger sufficient to draw fouls or corner kicks. If that is allowed to happen repeatedly, we are in trouble.

The other guys

The reason I am convinced that Neymar will start on Sunday irrespective of form is that he is, next to Messi, the most dangerous 1v1 player we have. His ability to destabilize a back line is significant, and a known quantity. He will also be the one on the pitch least interested in having it become the Messi Show. He is also capable of making it into the Neymar Show. Pedro can’t do that, and neither can Sanchez.

Both Pedro and Sanchez can indeed capitalize on space created by others, but they are too easily walled off so that Pepe and Ramos can focus on keeping Messi from being a difference maker.

For them, Bale, Benzema, Di Maria, Modric are all more than capable of standing a match on its ear, which is what will make possession, and lots of it, imperative. In many ways this argues a bit for Pedro, who is very careful with the ball, more than willing to pass it back to Xavi rather than taking a risk that might result in a break in the other direction.

But Pedro doesn’t inspire fear. Fear from someone other than Messi will be required in this match.

clasney

I see an XI of Valdes, Alves, Pique, Mascherano, Alba, Busquets, Xavi, Iniesta, Fabregas, Messi and Neymar.

As for a predicted scoreline, it’s so tough. It could be a manita in either direction or a scoreless draw. I don’t think there will be a lot goals in this one, as both keepers are too good. If you held my feet to the fire, I will say 2-2, making Atletico the real winner in this contest, assuming they can keep winning their Liga matches.

But I don’t think the 2-2 will be a tight draw, as Martino will have to go for it if he wants to win. Obviously he will anyhow, without question. But risks will need be assumed, risks that will make culers uncomfortable even as they might potentially decide the match in our favor. I worry more about the form of Iniesta and Neymar than Messi, who is always Messi, for lack of a better descriptive.

And culers, do me a favor. Whatever happens, no matter how it happens, be proud of your team. Not arrogant if they win, or filled with recrimination and blame if they lose, but proud. This is and has been an exceptional group of athletes. As the runs of some players end and other prepare to slide into seats that have been kept warm by the backsides of true greats, their efforts are worth celebrating. They are going to give their all for us. If we want to honor them, the best way is to be honorable … and proud.

What a team.

clasteam

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21 Responses to “A Classic preview, aka “For some, this colossal event is also the end of the road””

  1. Laurentiu88 says:

    nice preview.

    good points on neymar selection. that side will be interesting to watch, with arbeloa missing and alba having to deal with bale. hope neymar holds better to the ball then last game.

    i hope our teams goes there and gives it all it got. i take comfort that they have trained well for this with a whole week off, and even more for neymar and cesc, while they did have some issues with flue making pepe and dimaria miss some days of training.

  2. Levon says:

    Loved the preview. Readers, keep commenting and keep checking the blog because there is more to come this Clasico weekend.

  3. raj says:

    Would love an open live comment blog or a chat box of sorts in this space. Other websites like Total barca do it but a live match chat room here is a lot more fun!

  4. Ultraculé says:

    I think, in many ways, that 1-3 win @the Bernabeu was every bit as spectacular as the Manita home win. In the way the team gifted a goal at the very beginning, then nonchalantly switched to a 3 at the back formation and began bossing the EE at their house.
    I wrote some time back that Alexis Sanchez would be an important starter in this game, even as I realize the rationale to pick Neymar over him. If only we could include both of them in a 3 man defense formation, that would be so good to see. Unfortunately we don’t have pure defenders in the ilk of Abi and Puyi to call on for such a strategy.

    This might be the last classic for Valdes and Puyol, but I just cant believe that Xavi would want to walk away just yet. As for predictions, I think this particular classic seems to be the most unpredictable in recent years and it is very very even. I will however bet on Iniesta being the difference maker and look for Messi to grab a brace.

  5. Roger Evans says:

    I always admire Kxevin’s discipline in not being a fan of players, but a fan only of the club. In my own case I have, involuntarily, the flip side of that: my being a fan of the club makes me a fan of every single player, almost impartially. That permits me to feel totally gutted at the departure of these heroes, and still not have my adhesion to the remaining ones diminished.

  6. stefan2k says:

    Loved it! Thank you Kev.

    I’m already kinda excited… my bet is on a 2-3 with us winning on a late decisive Iniesta goalazo! :-)

  7. georgjorge says:

    Thanks for this preview. I actually hadn’t realized it could be the last Clasico ever for Xavi…kinda sad, because like chocolate muffins, one can never have enough of Xavi passing the ball around.

    I was kinda calm during the ManCity matches, but M*drid always has me at the end of my nerves during the game. They’re just so fast in transition…but I’ll try to show some more confidence in our players this time.

  8. Valdemar II says:

    If we defend deep and play for counter-attacks this match will be comfortable to watch. Mudrid’s kick and run wingers getting no space, and their questionable back four put to the test. No large clue on how strong they are right now, I only watched the atletico game where they looked like sh so let’s hope they’re as tired this time around ;)

  9. PrinceYuvi says:

    Awesometastic Preview !
    Whoa kx.

  10. Serena Andre says:

    Awesome preview.

    And some good news too, Montoya has agreed to extend his contract until 2018. It’s official. His new buyout clause will be 20M.

    • Messiah10 says:

      I like it if only for the buyout clause. Haven’t been to impressed with him this season. He definitely has progressed from last season when he did impress.

  11. Arafat says:

    I’m scared, we will accept the same fate tomorrow as Arsenal did today.

    Pique,Mascherano, Alves needs to step it up big time. and pedro over sanchez please.

    • PrinceYuvi says:

      ^ Er ?
      Please !

      • barca96 says:

        Seriously? 6-0…. No way! Of course we have a chance of losing just like we have a chance of winning but we won’t lose 6-0. I guarantee you that. I think the players deserve more trust from you.

        • socrates says:

          Like Kxevin said above, ‘It could be a manita in either direction’, so why not 6-0? Who would have thought that the team who played Bayern to a draw would get thrashed 6-0 by Chelsea ten days later? I understand Arafat’s fear. but would beg to differ.
          2-1 to us, and Neymar comes out to play, really play.

  12. Messiah10 says:

    I like the Neymar argument for this Classico, but I think Tata will go with the same lineup as last Sat. 7-0 was a statement for that line up. Pedro & Alexis deserve the start. I want their work rate in winning the ball back and harassing EE’s back line as well.

    • Serena Andre says:

      We need 4 mids for control. I don’t think there’s any chance Tata is going to go with 3 forwards. Every big game we’ve played this season has been with 4 mids. Why change that now?

  13. barca96 says:

    From the Chelsea Arsenal match on the red card incident.

    Ref: “Gibbs, you’re off!”
    Ox: “But ref, it was me!”
    Ref: “Shut up Walcott, get on with the game”

    How on earth can a referee make such a mistake. It even has a touch of discrimination in this as he can’t differentiate between the darker skinned players. But it’s not just the ref, how can not 1 of the 3 other refs point out the mistake? Or were they doing this on purpose to have a laugh?

  14. Levon says:

    New post is up. Feel free to continue your comment thread both here and/or there.

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