La Liga Prediction Challenge!

Ladies and gentlemen, this is about honor.

So, you think you’re pretty smart, dontcha? Sure you do. You’re out in Internetlandia, in your little comfy arm chair, relaxing, thinking about what’s about to happen next in the world, and then you realize that Barcelona Football Blog has updated. You swivel your little intergalactic information super highway navigator our way and find, lo and behold, that Isaiah has published a table of how the world will look come the end of the season.

And you laugh. And you criticize with your mocking and your comments and your vicious looks as I walk around the streets of the city I call home. I know you what you’re thinking! And I’m here to challenge you. That’s right, I’m challenging you–all of you–to a second half prediction game.

Thanks to reader Patrick, we’ve got ourselves a nice prediction competition, controlled entirely by Excel. The rules are simple, but you must pay attention because they are essential for understanding what’s going on. This is not a final table prediction game, it is a second half prediction challenge. That is, you predict how teams will do over the coming 19 matches, not how they will do relative to the final standings. There are 57 points up for grabs and every team starts with 0 points come Jornada 20. That means you are predicting nothing for this coming weekend (Valladolid-Barça and all the other matches), but starting the next weekend when Barça takes on Sporting Gijon for the second time.

What you’ll need to do is figure out where all the teams will end up over the coming 19 matches and then send me an email with that particular arrangement. You can email me at info[at]barcelonafootballblog[dot]com, but you may be interested in what the scoring is like.

  • You get 5 points for getting a place exactly correct. If you say Tenerife will come in last over the coming 19 matches and they do, earning a whopping 0 points, then you get 5 points. This means the maximum number of points achievable is 100.
  • You get -1 for each place you’re off by up to 5 places. Example: if you say Tenerife will come in 5th from last and they come in last, you’ll get 1 point. If you say Athletic Bilbao will come in 13th and they come in 15th, you get 3 points.
  • For being wrong between 6 and 10 places, you get 0 points.
  • For being wrong more than 10 places, you get a negative point for each place. If you said Tenerife would end up first and they end up last, you get -9 points.

The one with the most points after all is said and done on May 16 wins. Please include the name by which you would like to be known by if you win or I announce how people are doing. You may also request a copy of the spreadsheet I’m using so that you can watch your own progress. Please make your submissions using the following names for teams so that the spreadsheet is not confused. You may bitch about it being Ath. Bilbao instead of Athletic in the comments. But I won’t listen to you, because this is not a democracy. This, folks, is a kleptocracy.

Almeria
Ath. Bilbao
Atl. Madrid
Barcelona
Depor
Espanyol
Getafe
Malaga
Mallorca
Osasuna
Rac. Santander
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Sporting Gijon
Tenerife
Valencia
Valladolid
Villarreal
Xerez
Zaragoza

Again, you may send your entries to info[at]barcelonafootballblog[dot]com. Entries must be received by January 31 at noon EST (6pm Spain time) to be considered. No exceptions whatsoever will be made. I promise to post my table.

Now, for what you’ve been dreaming of: the prize for winning. It’s not an epic poem this time around, sorry to say. Instead it is a hand-crafted MS Paint drawing from me. Of whatever I want. Trust me, it’s worth the trouble of guessing some piddling 19 places and then leaving it all up to me to figure out what’s going on.

Almeria
Ath. Bilbao
Atl. Madrid
Barcelona
Depor
Espanyol
Getafe
Malaga
Mallorca
Osasuna
Rac. Santander
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Sporting Gijon
Tenerife
Valencia
Valladolid
Villarreal
Xerez
Zaragoza
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Written by:

Isaiah is a co-founder and lead writer for Barcelona Football Blog. He currently lives in the greater New York City area with his wife and daughter.

30 Comments

  1. cliveee
    January 20, 2010

    sorry, but i am confused… what should we submit at the end? a table of teams in order? can you give us an example of a submission?

  2. Helge
    January 20, 2010

    So, mathematically the rules look like the following:

    Delta place < 5: 5 points – Delta place points
    [with Delta place = abs(predicted place – actual place) ] This results in 5th from last to last place meaning Delta place = 4 etc.

    5=< Delta place = 10: Delta place points – 10 points

    correct?

  3. Helge
    January 20, 2010

    Can someone please translate completely what they’ve sung about Pep?
    \\http://www.elmundodeportivo.es/gen/20100119/53874346414/noticia/el-grupo-musical-manel-le-pide-a-guardiola-que-renueve.html

    This is an amazing gesture from the band. Furthermore, EMD reports that there’ll be a press conference today involving Pep, Joan and Txiki. OMG, imagine he signs a new contract now!

    • missingpage
      January 20, 2010

      YEP! Everything points out that Pep has just renewed! According to Elmundo the deal is for one more year(?!) and is going to require the upcoming president’s approval in order to formalize…!
      HUGE Barca WOOOHOOO! from Greece up to the states!

  4. Boat Forever
    January 20, 2010

    Txiki, Pep and Laporta have called an urgent press conference at 1330 to make an announcement…

    What might it be for!? Could you guys start to throw some intelligent guesses, oh you holy bloggers!?

  5. eklavya
    January 20, 2010

    What happended to the banner winner? I dont any banquillo/poem for that person…….unless you sent it privately by email or something.

  6. Vj
    January 20, 2010

    YES!!!

    PEP TO STAY NEXT SEASON!!!!

    /http://www.fcbarcelona.com/web/english/noticies/destacades/n100120108887.html

  7. Vj
    January 20, 2010

    BTW, 5 Barca players (6 if you count Ibra) are in the UEFA team of the year 2009..

    /http://www1.uefa.com/fanzone/teamoftheyear/index.html

    • Alexinho
      January 20, 2010

      I voted Yaya actually instead of Xavi, just to give the man a shout…

  8. Eklavya
    January 20, 2010

    WOOT WOOT!!!!!!!!
    Pep to renew!!!!!

  9. Hector
    January 20, 2010

    Hooray! Although…does this mean we have to go through the same drama again next year? Pep is, for now, the King of Catalunya, he can do whatever the hell he wants and all the presidential candidates know it.

  10. January 20, 2010

    awesomeness about Pep!!!!!!!!!!!!! Valladolid are going to get smashed! I can see it coming!

  11. Helge
    January 20, 2010

    Wow, the last 5 days were simly incredible. 5 points gap to the EE, Pep’s birthday and to top it off, he who can not get enough praise for his work and effort, renews his contract!!! I feel like I’m in heaven 🙂

  12. Tyler
    January 20, 2010

    VISCA PEP!!! forget all that nonsense I wrote about if Pep left, he’s here for a while.

    Though I found this in an article on Sport:

    “there is a clause that Pep may leave without penalty, provided that the new president to be voted the next elections (April, May or June) is not to his liking.”

    This election is so much bigger than we could have imagined.

    • Helge
      January 20, 2010

      That’s a good clause on which Pep will have insisted. But imagine if the new president doesn’t fit to Pep’s mind and Pep leaves us. This new president will be one of the most-disliked Barca presidents ever 🙂
      So there is actually no real choice for the new president except of to meet all of Pep’s expecations!

      • Eklavya
        January 20, 2010

        Yeah, actually Pep is the main piece, here not the president. If Pep resigns like you mention, there probably be riots and whatnot. I don’t think any president will dare do anything Pep doesn’t like. Pep’s the real boss.

  13. Helge
    January 20, 2010

    Another good news (well, depends on the point of view, but I think it’s good news):
    Pep will only renew in summer if Tito’s contract is also extended.

    On the dark side, Txiki has hinted at his retirement this sommer…

  14. Tutomate
    January 20, 2010

    So let me see is I get this, we male a guess on how the teams will finish this half
    of the season AND how many points they get from the 19 Games?

    Yay for Peps Renewal.

    Isaiah, Kxevin I’m about to drop the 175€ to become a soci but was wondering if I get to vote on my first year or if I have to wait a while. Do you guys know?

  15. stephen
    January 20, 2010

    Okay so maybe im slow.. i take the teams, tell you the places they’ll end at, and thats it?

    • January 21, 2010

      No. You tell me how they do over the next 19 matches. Not how they do overall. All teams start at 0 points from Monday on. Jornadas 20-38 are all that matter. Nothing that happened before matters at all.

      • Eklavya
        January 21, 2010

        Ok, we have to tell you the places they’ll end at AND if they will win x number of matches or lose y number of matches…?

        You need to give a example…

  16. Alexinho
    January 21, 2010

    Fantasy football rules I’ve set for myself apply here–I’m afraid I can’t get sucked into this. Apologies-

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